SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Weymouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Bath City |
38.51% ( -0.2) | 25.72% ( -0.02) | 35.76% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.1) | 49.01% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.09) | 71.09% ( -0.09) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.06) | 24.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -0.09) | 59.63% ( 0.09) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( 0.17) | 26.52% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( 0.23) | 61.71% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.51% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.76% |
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