Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0.65) 
-0.26) 
