Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
