SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
56.41% ( 3.32) | 22.15% ( -0.87) | 21.43% ( -2.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 1.13) | 42.16% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( 1.12) | 64.57% ( -1.13) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( 1.52) | 14.78% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% ( 2.83) | 43.03% ( -2.83) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( -1.56) | 33.46% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( -1.74) | 70.09% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.41)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.43% |
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