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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
41.42% ( 0.21) | 25.08% ( -0.02) | 33.5% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( 0.05) | 46.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.05) | 68.81% ( -0.05) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 0.13) | 22.39% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( 0.19) | 55.91% ( -0.19) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.09) | 26.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.12) | 61.94% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.5% |
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