SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Maidstone United |
25.04% ( -0.35) | 26.44% ( -0.07) | 48.52% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( -0) | 56.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( -0) | 77.26% ( 0) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.31) | 37.96% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( -0.31) | 74.73% ( 0.31) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( 0.19) | 23.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( 0.28) | 57.11% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.51% |
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