SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Welling United |
60.03% ( 0.01) | 22.73% ( -0.01) | 17.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.01) | 50.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( 0.01) | 72.48% ( -0.01) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( 0.01) | 16.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.84% ( 0.02) | 46.15% ( -0.02) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% ( -0.01) | 42.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.82% ( -0) | 79.18% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.48% 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.24% |
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