SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | St Albans City |
41.83% ( 0.05) | 24.5% ( -0.01) | 33.67% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.04) | 43.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( 0.04) | 66.23% ( -0.04) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.04) | 21.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( 0.06) | 53.85% ( -0.06) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0) | 25.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( -0.01) | 60.07% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.67% |
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