SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | St Albans City |
30.69% ( 1.39) | 23.8% ( 0.18) | 45.51% ( -1.57) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( -0.08) | 41.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( -0.08) | 64.11% ( 0.08) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.87) | 26.09% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( 1.15) | 61.15% ( -1.15) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( -0.66) | 18.57% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.16% ( -1.12) | 49.84% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 45.51% |
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