SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
43.3% ( -5.39) | 23.75% ( 0.4) | 32.94% ( 4.99) |
| Both teams to score 61.43% ( 1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.72) | 40.53% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.73) | 62.91% ( -0.73) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( -1.88) | 19.02% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% ( -3.21) | 50.58% ( 3.2) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( 3.53) | 24.14% ( -3.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( 4.77) | 58.46% ( -4.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.75)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -1.05)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.84)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.46)Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.3)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.79) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.35)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.94% |
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