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National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
2 - 3
Truro City

Dodd (25'), Cane (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dean (52'), Greenslade (56'), Law (64')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 4-0 Worthing
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawTruro City
56.19% (0.151 0.15) 21.25% (-0.064 -0.06) 22.56% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (0.181 0.18)36.49% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.36% (0.2 0.2)58.63% (-0.205 -0.2)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (0.102 0.1)12.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.57% (0.215 0.22)39.43% (-0.221 -0.22)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)29.26% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.21% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 56.19%
    Truro City 22.56%
    Draw 21.25%
Weston-super-MareDrawTruro City
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 22.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weston 4-0 Worthing
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 4-2 Welling United
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South


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