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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Welling United |
67.35% ( 10.48) | 17.47% ( -3.71) | 15.17% ( -6.78) |
| Both teams to score 61.4% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.55% ( 6.5) | 30.44% ( -6.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.27% ( 7.4) | 51.72% ( -7.4) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.63% ( 4.54) | 8.36% ( -4.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.89% ( 10.21) | 29.11% ( -10.21) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -2.96) | 32.99% ( 2.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( -3.42) | 69.58% ( 3.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 1.12)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 1.48)1-0 @ 6.85% ( -1.09)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 1.42)4-0 @ 4.36% ( 1.52)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.63)5-1 @ 2.4% ( 1)5-0 @ 2.16% ( 1)5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.49)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.51)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.71% Total : 67.35% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -1.95) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.66)0-0 @ 2.76% ( -1.12)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.48% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -1.53) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( -1.6)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -1.11)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.75)Other @ 2.72% Total : 15.17% |
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