SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
44.47% ( -0.34) | 25.19% ( 0.05) | 30.35% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.07) | 48.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( -0.06) | 70.27% ( 0.06) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( -0.18) | 21.63% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( -0.28) | 54.75% ( 0.28) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( 0.17) | 29.5% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( 0.21) | 65.51% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.35% |
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