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National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 0
Weston

Ibie (41'), Vaz (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawWeston-super-Mare
44.47% (-0.341 -0.34) 25.19% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 30.35% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 55.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)48.1% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)70.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)21.63% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.283 -0.28)54.75% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.167 0.17)29.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.206 0.21)65.51% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 44.47%
    Weston-super-Mare 30.35%
    Draw 25.18%
AveleyDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-4 Aveley
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South


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