SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Chippenham Town |
34.5% ( 0.4) | 24.71% ( 0.12) | 40.79% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.46) | 44.62% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.44) | 66.98% ( 0.45) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.02) | 25.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.03) | 59.91% ( -0.02) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.44) | 21.87% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( -0.68) | 55.11% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.79% |
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