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National League South | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
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Weymouth
1 - 1
Dover Athletic

Goodship (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Holding (59')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
WeymouthDrawDover Athletic
58.44% (0.256 0.26) 22.6% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 18.96% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)47.49% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.183 -0.18)69.7% (0.181 0.18)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (0.016999999999996 0.02)15.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8% (0.035000000000004 0.04)45.2% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)39.04% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (-0.345 -0.34)75.76% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 58.43%
    Dover Athletic 18.96%
    Draw 22.6%
WeymouthDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.43%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 18.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-5 Bath City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-3 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Weston
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South


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