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National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 1
Aveley

Hughes (85' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jones (24')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Aveley
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
WeymouthDrawAveley
36.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 26.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 36.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16% (-0.061 -0.06)53.83% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (-0.052 -0.05)75.3% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)28.29% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.01% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)64.15% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 36.65%
    Aveley 36.47%
    Draw 26.87%
WeymouthDrawAveley
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-5 Bath City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Aveley
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Aveley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South


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