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National League South | Gameweek 19
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
W

Torquay Utd
3 - 1
Weymouth

McGavin (4'), Ash (31'), Collins (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bolton (41')
Brooks (81')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawWeymouth
48.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (0.026000000000003 0.03)45.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)18.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03)30.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.68% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 48.46%
    Weymouth 27.3%
    Draw 24.23%
Torquay UnitedDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26%
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 27.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-4 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-3 Yeovil
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-5 Bath City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South


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