SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheshunt | 6 | -9 | 3 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 6 | -10 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Farnborough Town | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheshunt | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
33.99% ( -1.64) | 26.18% ( 0.13) | 39.82% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( -0.78) | 51.2% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.68) | 73.04% ( 0.68) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( -1.38) | 28.64% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( -1.76) | 64.45% ( 1.75) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.46) | 25.27% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( 0.63) | 60.03% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.82% |
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