National League South | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Chelmsford City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
Result |
Farnborough Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.72% ( -1.65) | 27.71% ( 0.81) | 37.57% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( -2.63) |
42.8% ( -3.24) | 57.2% ( 3.24) |
21.95% ( -2.65) | 78.05% ( 2.65) |
68.85% ( -2.64) | 31.15% ( 2.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.51% ( -3.19) | 67.48% ( 3.19) |
70.62% ( -1.07) | 29.37% ( 1.07) |