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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Weymouth |
45.01% ( -0.66) | 23.7% ( -0.14) | 31.28% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( 1.05) | 40.95% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( 1.06) | 63.34% ( -1.07) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( 0.15) | 18.47% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( 0.25) | 49.67% ( -0.25) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 1.02) | 25.34% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( 1.38) | 60.13% ( -1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.28% |
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