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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
37.45% ( 2.05) | 26.68% ( 0.25) | 35.87% ( -2.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -1.01) | 53.07% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.35% ( -0.86) | 74.66% ( 0.87) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.73) | 27.46% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% ( 0.94) | 62.96% ( -0.93) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -1.82) | 28.39% ( 1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( -2.35) | 64.14% ( 2.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.87% |
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