SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Oxford City |
47.65% ( 0.07) | 23.51% ( -0.02) | 28.83% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( 0.04) | 41.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( 0.04) | 63.8% ( -0.04) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.04) | 17.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( 0.07) | 48.18% ( -0.08) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0.02) | 27.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( -0.03) | 62.55% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.83% |
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