SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Yeovil Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
67.66% ( -0.17) | 18.97% ( 0.08) | 13.36% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.14) | 41.96% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.14) | 64.36% ( 0.14) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.58% ( -0.09) | 11.42% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.8% ( -0.19) | 36.2% ( 0.19) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.09% ( 0.05) | 42.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.79% ( 0.04) | 79.21% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 67.66% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.97% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.36% |
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