SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | St Albans City |
45.78% ( 0.32) | 25% ( -0.07) | 29.22% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0.15) | 47.87% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.13) | 70.05% ( -0.14) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( 0.2) | 20.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( 0.32) | 53.69% ( -0.31) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( -0.11) | 30.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( -0.13) | 66.32% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.22% |
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