SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
46.05% ( 0.1) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 29.52% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( 0.25) | 45.15% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( 0.23) | 67.5% ( -0.23) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( 0.14) | 19.72% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( 0.23) | 51.74% ( -0.23) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.09) | 28.58% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( 0.12) | 64.37% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.52% |
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