Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
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