SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
34.79% ( -2.32) | 26.5% ( 0.8) | 38.7% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( -2.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( -3.6) | 52.42% ( 3.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -3.18) | 74.1% ( 3.18) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -3.08) | 28.74% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -4.01) | 64.57% ( 4.01) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.83) | 26.45% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( -1.11) | 61.62% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 1.03)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 1.15) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.63)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.69% |
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