SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
50.44% ( 0.17) | 24.3% ( -0.21) | 25.26% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( 0.93) | 47.61% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( 0.85) | 69.81% ( -0.85) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( 0.43) | 18.9% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( 0.71) | 50.39% ( -0.71) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.54) | 33.08% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( 0.59) | 69.68% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.26% |
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