SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
25.72% ( -5.24) | 23.02% ( -1.05) | 51.26% ( 6.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( 1.32) | 41.52% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( 1.33) | 63.92% ( -1.32) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( -2.99) | 29.47% ( 2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.53% ( -3.81) | 65.47% ( 3.81) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 2.95) | 16.3% ( -2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.12% ( 5.09) | 45.88% ( -5.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.91) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.9)2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.91)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.53)Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.98)1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.79)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.98)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.57)0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.6)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.24)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.27)Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.26% |
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