Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
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