SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Scunthorpe United | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Aldershot Town | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Halifax Town | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Dorking Wanderers | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Maidstone United | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Woking | 5 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidstone United |
31.12% ( 0.3) | 24.47% ( -0.43) | 44.4% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( 1.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( 2.07) | 44.6% ( -2.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.04% ( 1.97) | 66.96% ( -1.97) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 1.22) | 27.23% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( 1.56) | 62.66% ( -1.56) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 0.92) | 20.21% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( 1.45) | 52.52% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.12% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.51)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.4% |
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