Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Altrincham
71.07% ( 0.14)	17.18% ( -0.03)	11.75% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.34% (

-0.16)

37.66% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

-0.17)

59.89% (

0.17)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

-0.01)

9.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

-0.02)

31.61% (

0.02)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31% (

-0.29)

42.69% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.97% (

-0.25)

79.03% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Notts County 71.07%

Altrincham 11.75%

Draw 17.18%

Notts County	Draw	Altrincham
2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 71.07%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.18%	1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 11.75%