SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.19% ( -0.57) | 25.94% ( 0.45) | 27.87% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.5% ( -1.71) | 52.5% ( 1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -1.49) | 74.17% ( 1.5) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.97) | 22.7% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -1.47) | 56.36% ( 1.48) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( -0.8) | 33.59% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( -0.89) | 70.24% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.87% |
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