SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
39.34% ( 1.32) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 35.59% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% ( 0.12) | 46.07% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( 0.11) | 68.37% ( -0.11) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.74) | 23.22% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( 1.07) | 57.12% ( -1.07) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.65) | 25.24% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( -0.91) | 59.98% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.59% |
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