SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.07% ( -1.72) | 24.47% ( 0.2) | 31.45% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.2) | 44.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.19) | 66.84% ( 0.18) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.82) | 20.3% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( -1.32) | 52.67% ( 1.32) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.89) | 26.96% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( 1.16) | 62.3% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.45% |
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