SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Altrincham |
31.09% ( -1.69) | 25.08% ( 0.15) | 43.83% ( 1.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( -1.28) | 47.34% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -1.2) | 69.56% ( 1.2) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -1.71) | 28.61% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -2.2) | 64.42% ( 2.2) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( 0.17) | 21.6% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( 0.26) | 54.71% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.83% |
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