Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
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