SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
16.75% ( -0.08) | 21.83% ( 0) | 61.42% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.14) | 47.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.13) | 69.86% ( 0.13) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.18) | 41.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.79% ( -0.16) | 78.21% ( 0.16) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.03) | 15.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.52% ( -0.05) | 43.48% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.26% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.41% |
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