Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
