SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Barnet |
29.35% ( -0.05) | 25.5% ( 0.02) | 45.15% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( -0.11) | 49.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( -0.1) | 71.91% ( 0.1) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( -0.1) | 31.13% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( -0.11) | 67.46% ( 0.11) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( -0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.05) | 55.44% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.14% |
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