Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 22.04% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.