SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
85.22% ( 0.04) | 9.92% ( -0.02) | 4.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.05) | 26.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.26% ( -0.06) | 46.73% ( 0.05) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.73% ( -0.01) | 4.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.28% ( -0.01) | 17.71% ( 0) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.13) | 50.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.7% ( -0.09) | 85.29% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 3-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.82% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.01% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 85.21% | 1-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 9.92% | 1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 4.85% |
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