Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
