Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
30.59% ( 0.5) | 26.02% ( -0.12) | 43.39% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.48% ( 0.67) | 51.52% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.68% ( 0.58) | 73.32% ( -0.58) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( 0.7) | 31.06% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% ( 0.81) | 67.38% ( -0.82) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( 0.1) | 23.6% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( 0.15) | 57.68% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.38% |
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