SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Barnet |
40.51% ( -0.01) | 24.04% ( 0.02) | 35.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.08) | 41.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( -0.08) | 63.66% ( 0.08) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.04) | 20.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( -0.06) | 53.08% ( 0.06) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.04) | 23.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -0.06) | 56.94% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.51% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.44% |
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