We said: Chelsea 5-0 Chesterfield
Chesterfield are unlikely to face some of the biggest names that Chelsea have to offer, but a mixture of fringe and youthful Blues players should still get the job done convincingly.
The visitors deserve immense credit for navigating the unforgiving winter period as well as they did, but the FA Cup journey will likely come to an end for Rowe and co here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 80.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 5.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.28%) and 3-0 (12.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
