Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
