SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Woking had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Woking win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Woking |
71.03% ( 0.07) | 16.99% ( -0.03) | 11.98% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.03) | 36.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.03) | 58.15% ( -0.04) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.01% ( 0.02) | 8.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.35% ( 0.06) | 30.65% ( -0.06) |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.05) | 41.23% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% ( -0.04) | 77.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Woking |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 71.03% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.99% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 11.98% |
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