SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
70.33% ( -2.13) | 17.55% ( 1.01) | 12.12% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( -1.8) | 38.41% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.3% ( -1.93) | 60.7% ( 1.93) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.23% ( -0.96) | 9.77% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.51% ( -2.28) | 32.49% ( 2.27) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( 0.69) | 42.57% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% ( 0.59) | 78.93% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.33)5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.12% |
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