Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Woking had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Woking win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.